대기 (Atmosphere)

  • 제27권3호
  • /
  • Pages.345-358
  • /
  • 2017
  • /
  • 1598-3560(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2288-3266(eISSN)
한국기상학회 (Korean Meteorological Society)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

2000년대 초반 우리나라 장마기간 강수량의 십년 변화 특성

Decadal Change in Rainfall During the Changma Period in Early-2000s

  • Woo, Sung-Ho (Climate Prediction Team, APEC Climate Center) ;
  • Yim, So-Young (Climate Prediction Division, Korea Meteorological Administration) ;
  • Kwon, Min-Ho (Ocean Circulation and Climate Center, Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology) ;
  • Kim, Dong-Joon (Climate Prediction Division, Korea Meteorological Administration)
  • 투고 : 2017.06.07
  • 심사 : 2017.08.14
  • 발행 : 2017.09.30
PDF 다운로드
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

The decadal change in rainfall for Changma period over the South Korea in early-2000s is detected in this study. The Changma rainfall in P1 (1992~2002) decade is remarkably less than in P2 (2003~2013) decade. The much rainfall in P2 decade is associated with the increase of rainy day frequency during Changma period, including the frequent occurrences of rainy day with a intensity of 30 mm/day or more in P2 decade. This decadal change in the Changma rainfall is due to the decadal change of atmospheric circulation around the Korean Peninsula which affects the intensity and location of Changma rainfall. During P2 decade, the anomalous anti-cyclone over the south of the Korean Peninsula, which represents the expansion of the North Pacific high with warm and wet air mass toward East Asia, is stronger than in P1 decade. In addition, the upper level zonal wind and meridional gradient of low-level equivalent potential temperature in P2 decade is relatively strengthened over the northern part of the Korean Peninsula than in P1 decade, which corresponds with the intensification of meridional gradient between air mass related to the East Asian summer monsoon nearby the Korean Peninsula in P2 decade. The enhanced meridional gradient of atir mass during P2 decade is favorable condition for the intensification of Changma rainfall band and more Changma rainfall. The atmospheric conditions related to enhanced Changma rainfall during P2 decade is likely to be influenced by the teleconnection linked to the suppressed convection anomaly over the southern part of China and South China Sea in P2 decade.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Ahn, J.-B., J.-H. Ryu, E.-H. Cho, J.-Y. Park, and S.-B. Ryoo, 1997: A study of correlations between air-temperature and precipitation in Korea and SST over the tropical pacific. J. Korean Meteor. Soc., 33, 487-495 (in Korean with English abstract).
  2. Barnston, A. G., and R. E. Livezey, 1987: Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric ciruclation pattern. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1083-1126. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1987)115<1083:CSAPOL>2.0.CO;2
  3. Chun, Y.-S., and S.-U. Park, 1990: Characteristics of the regional circulation over Asia during the dry Changma period in 1982. J. Korean Meteor. Soc., 26, 12-24 (in Korean with English abstract).
  4. Ha, K.-J., and E. Ha, 2006: Climatic change and interannual fluctuations in the long-term record of monthly precipitation for Seoul. Int. J. Climatol., 26, 607-618. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1272
  5. Ha, K.-J., and S.-S. Lee, 2007: On the interannual variability of the Bonin high associated with the East Asian summer monsoon rain. Climate Dyn., 28, 67-83.
  6. Ha, K.-J., S.-K. Park, and K.-Y. Kim, 2003: Interannual variability in summer precipitation around the Korean Peninsula and its associated East Asian summer circulation. J. Korean Meteor. Soc., 39, 575-586 (in Korean with English abstract).
  7. Ha, K.-J., K.-S. Yun, J.-G. Jhun, and C.-K. Park, 2005a: Definition of onset/retreat and intensity of Changma during the boreal summer monsoon season. J. Korean Meteor. Soc., 41, 927-942 (in Korean with English abstract).
  8. Ha, K.-J., S.-K. Park, and K.-Y. Kim, 2005b: On interannual characteristics of climate prediction center merged analysis precipitation over the Korean peninsula during the summer monsoon season. Int. J. Climatol., 25, 99-116. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1116
  9. Ha, K.-J., K.-Y. Heo, S.-S. Lee, K.-S. Yun, and J.-G. Jhun, 2012: Variability in the East Asian monsoon: A review. Meteor. Appl., 19, 200-215, doi:10.1002/met.1320.
  10. Ha, Y., Z. Zhong, H. Chen, and Y. Hu, 2016: Out-of-phase decadal changes in boreal summer rainfall between Yellow-Huaihe River Valley and southern China around 2002/2003. Climate Dyn., 47, 137-158, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2828-2.
  11. Ham, Y.-G., Y. Chikamoto, J.-S. Kug, M. Kimoto, and T. Mochizuki, 2016: Tropical Atlantic-Korea teleconnection pattern during boreal summer season. Climate Dyn., online published, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3474-z.
  12. Ho, C.-H., J.-Y. Lee, M.-H. Ahn, and H.-S. Lee, 2003: A sudden change in summer rainfall characteristics in Korea during the late 1970s. Int. J. Climatol., 23, 117-128. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.864
  13. Holton, J., 2004: An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology. Academic Press, 171-172.
  14. Hu, Z.-Z., 1997: Interdecadal variability of summer climate over East Asia and its association with 500 hPa height and global sea surface temperature. J. Geophys. Res., 102, 19403-19412. https://doi.org/10.1029/97JD01052
  15. Kang, I.-S., 1998: Relationship between El-Nino and Korean climate variability. J. Korean Meteor. Soc., 34, 390-396 (in Korean with English abstract).
  16. Korea Meteorological Administration, 2011a: White paper on Changma. Korea Meteorological Administration, 12-42.
  17. Korea Meteorological Administration, 2011b: Typhoon white book. Korea Meteorological Administration, 152-229.
  18. Kwon, M. H., J.-G. Jhun, B. Wang, S.-I. An, and J.-S. Kug, 2005: Decadal change in relationship between east Asian and WNP summer monsoons. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L16709, doi:10.1029/2005GL023026.
  19. Kwon, M. H., J.-G. Jhun, and K.-J. Ha, 2007: Decadal change in east Asian summer monsoon circulation in the mid-1990s. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L21706, doi:10.1029/2007GL031977.
  20. Lee, S.-S., P. N. Vinayachandran, K.-J. Ha, and J.-G. Jhun, 2010: Shift of peak in summer monsoon rainfall over Korea and its association with El Nino-Southern Oscillation. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D02111, doi:10.1029/2009JD011717.
  21. Lepage, Y., 1971: A combination of Wilcoxson's and Ansari-Bradley's statistics. Biometrika, 58, 213-217. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/58.1.213
  22. L'Heureux, M. L., D. C. Collins, and Z.-Z. Hu, 2013: Linear trends in sea surface temperature of the tropical Pacific Ocean and implications for the El Nino-Southern Oscillation. Climate Dyn., 40, 1223-1236, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1331-2.
  23. Lim, J.-S., and S.-U. Park, 1991: The moisture transport and budget over Korea during the 1988 Changma period. J. Korean Meteor. Soc., 27, 221-240 (in Korean with English abstract).
  24. Lin, Z., 2014: Intercomparison of the impacts of four summer teleconnections over Eurasia on East Asian rainfall. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 31, 1366-1376, doi:10.1007/s00376-014-3171-y.
  25. Liu, X., and M. Yanai, 2002: Influence of Eurasian spring snow cover on Asian summer rainfall. Int. J. Climatol., 22, 1075-1089. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.784
  26. Liu, Y., G. Huang, and R. Huang, 2011: Inter-decadal variability of summer rainfall in Eastern China detected by the Lepage test. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 106, 481-488, doi:10.1007/s00704-011-0442-8.
  27. Lu, R., 2002: Association between the surface temperature in Eurasia and the Changma withdrawals. Korean J. Atmos. Sci., 5, 63-70.
  28. Oh, H., K.-J. Ha, and J.-S. Shim, 2014: Analysis for onset of Changma using Ieodo ocean research station data. Atmosphere, 24, 189-196, doi:10.14191/Atmos.2014.24.2.189 (in Korean with English abstract).
  29. Seo, K.-H., J.-H. Son, and J.-Y. Lee, 2011: A new look at Changma. Atmosphere, 21, 109-121 (in Korean with English abstract).
  30. Seo, K.-H., J.-H. Son, S.-E. Lee, T. Tomita, and H.-S. Park, 2012: Mechanisms of an extraordinary East Asian summer monsoon event in July 2011. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L05704, doi:10.1029/2011GL050378.
  31. Shapiro, M. A., 1981: Frontogenesis and geostrophically forced secondary circulations in the vicinity of jet stream-frontal zone systems. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 954-973, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1981)038<0954:FAGFSC>2.0.CO;2.
  32. Son, J.-H., and K.-H. Seo, 2012: Dominant modes of the East Asian summer monsoon using equivalent potential temperature. Atmosphere, 22, 483-488, doi:10.14191/Atmos.2012.22.4.483 (in Korean with English abstract).
  33. Sun, J., and H. Wang, 2012: Changes of the connection between the summer North Atlantic Oscillation and the East Asian summer rainfall. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D08110, doi:10.1029/2012JD017482.
  34. Wang, B., and J. C. L. Chan, 2002: How strong ENSO events affect tropical storm activity over the Western North Pacific. J. Climate, 15, 1643-1658. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<1643:HSEEAT>2.0.CO;2
  35. Wang, B., R. Wu, and X. Fu, 2000: Pacific-East Asian teleconnection: How does ENSO affect East Asian climate? J. Climate, 13, 1517-1536. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<1517:PEATHD>2.0.CO;2
  36. Wang, B., J.-G. Jhun, and B.-K. Moon, 2007: Variability and singularity of Seoul, South Korea, rainy season (1778-2004). J. Climate, 20, 2572-2580. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI4123.1
  37. Whan, K., and Coauthors, 2014: Trends and variability of temperature extremes in the tropical Western Pacific. Int. J. Climatol., 34, 2585-2603, doi:10.1002/joc.3861.
  38. Won, H.-Y., C.-H. Cho, and S.-G. Baek, 2006: Classification of precipitation type using the wind profiler observation and analysis of the associated synoptic conditions: Years 2003-2005. Atmosphere, 16, 235-246 (in Korean with English abstract).
  39. Yonetani, T., and G. McCabe, 1994: Abrupt changes in regional temperature in the conterminous United States, 1895-1989. Climate Res., 4, 13-23. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr004013
  40. Yun, K.-S., K.-H. Seo, and K.-J. Ha, 2008: Relationship between ENSO and northward propagating intraseasonal oscillation in the east Asian summer monsoon system. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D14120, doi:10.1029/2008JD009901.
  41. Yun, K.-S., B. Ren, K.-J. Ha, J. C. L. Chan, and J.-G. Jhun, 2009: The 30-60-day oscillation in the East Asian summer monsoon and its time-dependent association with the ENSO. Tellus, 61, 565-578.
  42. Zhou, T., and Coauthors, 2009: Why the Western Pacific subtropical high has extended westward since the late 1970s. J. Climate., 22, 2199-2215. https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2527.1