• Title/Summary/Keyword: Learning and Growth

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Comparing the Performance of 17 Machine Learning Models in Predicting Human Population Growth of Countries

  • Otoom, Mohammad Mahmood
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.220-225
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    • 2021
  • Human population growth rate is an important parameter for real-world planning. Common approaches rely upon fixed parameters like human population, mortality rate, fertility rate, which is collected historically to determine the region's population growth rate. Literature does not provide a solution for areas with no historical knowledge. In such areas, machine learning can solve the problem, but a multitude of machine learning algorithm makes it difficult to determine the best approach. Further, the missing feature is a common real-world problem. Thus, it is essential to compare and select the machine learning techniques which provide the best and most robust in the presence of missing features. This study compares 17 machine learning techniques (base learners and ensemble learners) performance in predicting the human population growth rate of the country. Among the 17 machine learning techniques, random forest outperformed all the other techniques both in predictive performance and robustness towards missing features. Thus, the study successfully demonstrates and compares machine learning techniques to predict the human population growth rate in settings where historical data and feature information is not available. Further, the study provides the best machine learning algorithm for performing population growth rate prediction.

Comparison of long-term forecasting performance of export growth rate using time series analysis models and machine learning analysis (시계열 분석 모형 및 머신 러닝 분석을 이용한 수출 증가율 장기예측 성능 비교)

  • Seong-Hwi Nam
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.191-209
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, various time series analysis models and machine learning models are presented for long-term prediction of export growth rate, and the prediction performance is compared and reviewed by RMSE and MAE. Export growth rate is one of the major economic indicators to evaluate the economic status. And It is also used to predict economic forecast. The export growth rate may have a negative (-) value as well as a positive (+) value. Therefore, Instead of using the ReLU function, which is often used for time series prediction of deep learning models, the PReLU function, which can have a negative (-) value as an output value, was used as the activation function of deep learning models. The time series prediction performance of each model for three types of data was compared and reviewed. The forecast data of long-term prediction of export growth rate was deduced by three forecast methods such as a fixed forecast method, a recursive forecast method and a rolling forecast method. As a result of the forecast, the traditional time series analysis model, ARDL, showed excellent performance, but as the time period of learning data increases, the performance of machine learning models including LSTM was relatively improved.

A Study on Impact of Deep Learning on Korean Economic Growth Factor

  • Dong Hwa Kim;Dae Sung Seo
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.90-99
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    • 2023
  • This paper deals with studying strategy about impact of deep learning (DL) on the factor of Korean economic growth. To study classification of impact factors of Korean economic growth, we suggest dynamic equation of microeconomy and study methods on economic growth impact of deep learning. Next step is to suggest DL model to dynamic equation with Korean economy data with growth related factors to classify what factor is import and dominant factors to build policy and education. DL gives an influence in many areas because it can be implemented with ease as just normal editing works and speak including code development by using huge data. Currently, young generations will take a big impact on their job selection because generative AI can do well as much as humans can do it everywhere. Therefore, policy and education methods should be rearranged as new paradigm. However, government and officers do not understand well how it is serious in policy and education. This paper provides method of policy and education for AI education including generative AI through analysing many papers and reports, and experience.

Learning motivation of groups classified based on the longitudinal change trajectory of mathematics academic achievement: For South Korean students

  • Yongseok Kim
    • Research in Mathematical Education
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.129-150
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    • 2024
  • This study utilized South Korean elementary and middle school student data to examine the longitudinal change trajectories of learning motivation types according to the longitudinal change trajectories of mathematics academic achievement. Growth mixture modeling, latent growth model, and multiple indicator latent growth model were used to examine various change trajectories for longitudinal data. As a result of the analysis, it was classified into 4 subgroups with similar longitudinal change trajectories of mathematics academic achievement, and the characteristics of the mathematics subject, which emphasize systematicity, appeared. Furthermore, higher mathematics academic achievement was associated with higher self-determination and higher academic motivation. And as the grade level increases, amotivation increases and self-determination decreases. This study suggests that teaching and learning support using this is necessary because the level of learning motivation according to self-determination is different depending on the level of mathematics academic achievement reflecting the characteristics of the student.

The roles of growth mindset and grit in relation to hope and self-directed learning (희망과 자기주도학습과의 관계에서 성장 마인드셋과 그릿의 역할)

  • Lee, Chang Seek;Jang, Ha Young
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2018
  • Recently, according to the arrival of the knowledge-based society, the self-directed learning is necessary for the workers. Especially, the person with strong hopes showed strong self-directed learning, and the psychological characteristics and beliefs such as growth mindset and Grit would play a mediating role. The purpose of this study was to investigate the mediating effects of growth mindset and grit in relation to hope and self-directed learning. The subjects of this study were selected from than 32 workplace in cities of Seoul, Daejeon, Chungbuk, Chungnam, and consisted of 368 workers selected by purposive sampling. And data analysis was performed by frequency analysis, correlation analysis, and structural equation modeling. The major results were as follow. First, there were positively significant correlations among hope, growth mindset, grit, self-directed learning. Second, as a result of SEM, hope showed direct impact on self-directed learning. Third, hope had indirect effect through growth mindset and grit. Lastly, the limitations of this study and policy implications to increase self-directed learning of workers through hope, growth mindset and grit.

Study on e-Learning Users' Motivation and Satisfaction for its Growth (이러닝 활성화를 위한 이용자의 이용 동기와 만족도에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • Baek, Hyen-Ki;Ha, Tai-Hayun;Kang, Jung-Hwa
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2007
  • This paper studies characteristics of e-Learning users' motivation, attitudes and satisfaction. For this purpose, surveys were conducted of university students who choose e-Learning as one of main learning tools. The research found that stable service and proper service charges were critical to the loyalty to e-Learning service. It also showed that both quality and quantity of contents were very important factors to e-Learning growth.

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Mediating Effect of Learning Strategy in the Relation of Mathematics Self-efficacy and Mathematics Achievement: Latent Growth Model Analyses (수학 자기효능감과 수학성취도의 관계에서 학습전략의 매개효과 - 잠재성장모형의 분석 -)

  • Yum, Si-Chang;Park, Chul-Young
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.103-118
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    • 2011
  • The study examined whether the relation between mathematics self-efficacy and mathematics achievement was partially mediated by the learning strategies, using latent growth model analyses. It was also examined the auto-regressive, cross-lagged (ARCL) panel model for testing the stability and change in the relation of mathematics self-efficacy and learning strategy over time. The study analyzed the first-year to the third-year data of the Korean Educational Longitudinal Survey (KELS). The result of ARCL panel model analysis showed that earlier mathematics self-efficacy could predict later learning strategy use. There were linear trends in mathematics self-efficacy, learning strategy, and mathematics achievement. Specifically, mathematics achievement was increased over the three time points, whereas mathematics self-efficacy and learning strategies were significantly decreased. In the analyses of latent growth models, the mediating effects of learning strategies were overall supported. That is, both of initial status and change rate of rehearsal strategy partially mediated the relation of mathematics self-efficacy and mathematics achievement. However, in elaboration and meta-cognitive strategies, only the initial status of each variable showed the indirect relationship.

A Study on the Influence of Growth Mindset of University Students on Career Adaptability: Testing the Mediation Effect of Learning (대학생의 성장마인드셋이 진로적응성에 미치는 영향 분석: 학습몰입의 매개효과 검증)

  • Woojung Jang
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.21 no.9
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to verify the mediating effect of Learning Flow in the relationship between Growth Mindset and Career Adaptability. Based on 203 response data collected from university students, hypotheses were analyzed using SPSS 26.0 and AMOS 26.0 programs. According to the result of this study, Growth Mindset had a direct positive (+) effect on Learning Flow (𝛽=.403, p<.001), and Learning Flow also had a positive (+) effect on Career Adaptability (𝛽=.393, p<.001). Also, in the relationship between Growth Mindset and Career Adaptability, Learning Flow showed a mediating effect. This means that in order for Growth Mindset to affect Career Adaptability, Learning Flow must be considered as essential. To this end, it suggests that it is important to build a Learning Flow along with cultivating a Growth Mindset.

A Study on the Learning Curve and Productivity (한국 정유산업의 학습곡선과 생산성에 관한 연구)

  • 이종철;강규철
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.20 no.43
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    • pp.175-195
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    • 1997
  • The learning curve has an important effect the growth of corporation. But, in Korea, the study and inference on the learning rate of each industry are unprepared, and so, Korean industires have difficult in productivity and cost. At this point, this study infers the learning rate of the oil industries and investigates the productivity and growth of them. In conclusion, this study presents the direction of the oil industries' development. With the intention of this objects, this study seizes the status which is concerned the total quantity, the operating rate, the plant capacity, the indicators concerning productivity, the investment of R & D and the scales, and then, infers and verifies the relevancy in connection with the learning rate. In the oil industry, the average rate of learning is 65.96% from 1982 to 1994 which the total quantity and the average operation time are used to infer the rate. To observe the low rate within a same period of time, this study takes the consequences that the learning rate is almost indentical with them each year. This steady state is caused by a difference between the employee and the decision maker about the acquirement and assimiliated of technology. When the high-quality technologies posses the environment to applicate in the scene of labor with them, this technology applies to the productivities. As the learning rate increases, the productivity has more effectiveness. The result of analysis about the effectiveness of the learning rate follows that the R & D unfoldes to exist and does not contribute to the growth of the oil industry. To analyze the variables of the growth, such as the learning rate, the investement of R & D, the operating rate and the gross value added to property, plant and equipment, the model is established and examined. The business strategy in the oil industry must be developed to achive the internal growth as well as the external.

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A Study on High Temperature Low Cycle Fatigue Crack Growth Modelling by Neural Networks (신경회로망을 이용한 고온 저사이클 피로균열성장 모델링에 관한 연구)

  • Ju, Won-Sik;Jo, Seok-Su
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.2752-2759
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    • 1996
  • This paper presents crack growth analysis approach on the basis of neural networks, a branch of cognitive science to high temperature low cycle fatigue that shows strong nonlinearity in material behavior. As the number of data patterns on crack growth increase, pattern classification occurs well and two point representation scheme with gradient of crack growth curve simulates crack growth rate better than one point representation scheme. Optimal number of learning data exists and excessive number of learning data increases estimated mean error with remarkable learning time J-da/dt relation predicted by neural networks shows that test condition with unlearned data is simulated well within estimated mean error(5%).