• Title/Summary/Keyword: Observation error covariance

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Diagnostics of Observation Error of Satellite Radiance Data in Korean Integrated Model (KIM) Data Assimilation System (한국형수치예보모델 자료동화에서 위성 복사자료 관측오차 진단 및 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Hyeyoung;Kang, Jeon-Ho;Kwon, In-Hyuk
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.263-276
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    • 2022
  • The observation error of satellite radiation data that assimilated into the Korean Integrated Model (KIM) was diagnosed by applying the Hollingsworth and Lönnberg and Desrozier techniques commonly used. The magnitude and correlation of the observation error, and the degree of contribution for the satellite radiance data were calculated. The observation errors of the similar device, such as Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) and Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A shows different characteristics. The model resolution accounts for only 1% of the observation error, and seasonal variation is not significant factor, either. The observation error used in the KIM is amplified by 3-8 times compared to the diagnosed value or standard deviation of first-guess departures. The new inflation value was calculated based on the correlation between channels and the ratio of background error and observation error. As a result of performing the model sensitivity evaluation by applying the newly inflated observation error of ATMS, the error of temperature and water vapor analysis field were decreased. And temperature and water vapor forecast field have been significantly improved, so the accuracy of precipitation prediction has also been increased by 1.7% on average in Asia especially.

Typhoon Wukong (200610) Prediction Based on The Ensemble Kalman Filter and Ensemble Sensitivity Analysis (앙상블 칼만 필터를 이용한 태풍 우쿵 (200610) 예측과 앙상블 민감도 분석)

  • Park, Jong Im;Kim, Hyun Mee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.287-306
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    • 2010
  • An ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) with Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model is applied for Typhoon Wukong (200610) to investigate the performance of ensemble forecasts depending on experimental configurations of the EnKF. In addition, the ensemble sensitivity analysis is applied to the forecast and analysis ensembles generated in EnKF, to investigate the possibility of using the ensemble sensitivity analysis as the adaptive observation guidance. Various experimental configurations are tested by changing model error, ensemble size, assimilation time window, covariance relaxation, and covariance localization in EnKF. First of all, experiments using different physical parameterization scheme for each ensemble member show less root mean square error compared to those using single physics for all the forecast ensemble members, which implies that considering the model error is beneficial to get better forecasts. A larger number of ensembles are also beneficial than a smaller number of ensembles. For the assimilation time window, the experiment using less frequent window shows better results than that using more frequent window, which is associated with the availability of observational data in this study. Therefore, incorporating model error, larger ensemble size, and less frequent assimilation window into the EnKF is beneficial to get better prediction of Typhoon Wukong (200610). The covariance relaxation and localization are relatively less beneficial to the forecasts compared to those factors mentioned above. The ensemble sensitivity analysis shows that the sensitive regions for adaptive observations can be determined by the sensitivity of the forecast measure of interest to the initial ensembles. In addition, the sensitivities calculated by the ensemble sensitivity analysis can be explained by dynamical relationships established among wind, temperature, and pressure.

Precise Orbit Determination Based on the Unscented Transform for Optical Observations

  • Hwang, Hyewon;Lee, Eunji;Park, Sang-Young
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.249-264
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the precise orbit determination (POD) software is developed for optical observation. To improve the performance of the estimation algorithm, a nonlinear batch filter, based on the unscented transform (UT) that overcomes the disadvantages of the least-squares (LS) batch filter, is utilized. The LS and UT batch filter algorithms are verified through numerical simulation analysis using artificial optical measurements. We use the real optical observation data of a low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite, Cryosat-2, observed from optical wide-field patrol network (OWL-Net), to verify the performance of the POD software developed. The effects of light travel time, annual aberration, and diurnal aberration are considered as error models to correct OWL-Net data. As a result of POD, measurement residual and estimated state vector of the LS batch filter converge to the local minimum when the initial orbit error is large or the initial covariance matrix is smaller than the initial error level. However, UT batch filter converges to the global minimum, irrespective of the initial orbit error and the initial covariance matrix.

Bootstrap Confidence Intervals of Classification Error Rate for a Block of Missing Observations

  • Chung, Hie-Choon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.675-686
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, it will be assumed that there are two distinct populations which are multivariate normal with equal covariance matrix. We also assume that the two populations are equally likely and the costs of misclassification are equal. The classification rule depends on the situation when the training samples include missing values or not. We consider the bootstrap confidence intervals for classification error rate when a block of observation is missing.

Experimental Study of Estimating the Optimized Parameters in OI (서남해안 관측자료를 활용한 OI 자료동화의 최적 매개변수 산정 연구)

  • Gu, Bon-Ho;Woo, Seung-Buhm;Kim, Sangil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.458-467
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is the suggestion of optimized parameters in OI (Optimal Interpolation) by experimental study. The observation of applying optimal interpolation is ADCP (Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler) data at the southwestern sea of Korea. FVCOM (Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model) is used for the barotropic model. OI is to the estimation of the gain matrix by a minimum value between the background error covariance and the observation error covariance using the least square method. The scaling factor and correlation radius are very important parameters for OI. It is used to calculate the weight between observation data and model data in the model domain. The optimized parameters from the experiments were found by the Taylor diagram. Constantly each observation point requires optimizing each parameter for the best assimilation. Also, a high accuracy of numerical model means background error covariance is low and then it can decrease all of the parameters in OI. In conclusion, it is expected to have prepared the foundation for research for the selection of ocean observation points and the construction of ocean prediction systems in the future.

Steering Angle Error Compensation Algorithm Appropriate for Rapidly Moving Sources (빠른 속도로 기동하는 표적 환경에 적합한 조향각 오차 보정기법)

  • 박규태;박도현;이정훈;이균경
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.206-213
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a steering angle error compensation (SAEC) algorithm that is appropriate for rapidly moving sources. The Proposed algorithm utilizes a modal covariance matrix from multiple frequency components instead of the multiple snapshots in a narrowband SAEC, and estimates the steering error by maximizing the wideband WVDR output power using a first-order Taylor series approximation of the modal steering vector in terms of the steering error. As such, the steering error can be compensated with short observation times. Several simulations using artificial and sea trial data are used to demonstrate the Performance of the proposed algorithm.

Conditional bootstrap confidence intervals for classification error rate when a block of observations is missing

  • Chung, Hie-Choon;Han, Chien-Pai
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.189-200
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, it will be assumed that there are two distinct populations which are multivariate normal with equal covariance matrix. We also assume that the two populations are equally likely and the costs of misclassification are equal. The classification rule depends on the situation whether the training samples include missing values or not. We consider the conditional bootstrap confidence intervals for classification error rate when a block of observation is missing.

Investigation into SINS/ANS Integrated Navigation System Based on Unscented Kalman Filtering

  • Ali, Jamshaid;Jiancheng, Fang
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.241-245
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    • 2005
  • Strapdown inertial navigation system (SINS) integrated with astronavigation system (ANS) yields reliable mission capability and enhanced navigational accuracy for spacecrafts. The theory and characteristics of integrated system based on unscented Kalman filtering is investigated in this paper. This Kalman filter structure uses unscented transform to approximate the result of applying a specified nonlinear transformation to a given mean and covariance estimate. The filter implementation subsumed here is in a direct feedback mode. Axes misalignment angles of the SINS are observation to the filter. A simple approach for simulation of axes misalignment using stars observation is presented. The SINS error model required for the filtering algorithm is derived in space-stabilized mechanization. Simulation results of the integrated navigation system using a medium accuracy SINS demonstrates the validity of this method on improving the navigation system accuracy with the estimation and compensation for gyros drift, and the position and velocity errors that occur due to the axes misalignments.

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Orbit Determination of KOMPSAT-1 and Cryosat-2 Satellites Using Optical Wide-field Patrol Network (OWL-Net) Data with Batch Least Squares Filter

  • Lee, Eunji;Park, Sang-Young;Shin, Bumjoon;Cho, Sungki;Choi, Eun-Jung;Jo, Junghyun;Park, Jang-Hyun
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2017
  • The optical wide-field patrol network (OWL-Net) is a Korean optical surveillance system that tracks and monitors domestic satellites. In this study, a batch least squares algorithm was developed for optical measurements and verified by Monte Carlo simulation and covariance analysis. Potential error sources of OWL-Net, such as noise, bias, and clock errors, were analyzed. There is a linear relation between the estimation accuracy and the noise level, and the accuracy significantly depends on the declination bias. In addition, the time-tagging error significantly degrades the observation accuracy, while the time-synchronization offset corresponds to the orbital motion. The Cartesian state vector and measurement bias were determined using the OWL-Net tracking data of the KOMPSAT-1 and Cryosat-2 satellites. The comparison with known orbital information based on two-line elements (TLE) and the consolidated prediction format (CPF) shows that the orbit determination accuracy is similar to that of TLE. Furthermore, the precision and accuracy of OWL-Net observation data were determined to be tens of arcsec and sub-degree level, respectively.

A Suggestion for Data Assimilation Method of Hydrometeor Types Estimated from the Polarimetric Radar Observation

  • Yamaguchi, Kosei;Nakakita, Eiichi;Sumida, Yasuhiko
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.2161-2166
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    • 2009
  • It is important for 0-6 hour nowcasting to provide for a high-quality initial condition in a meso-scale atmospheric model by a data assimilation of several observation data. The polarimetric radar data is expected to be assimilated into the forecast model, because the radar has a possibility of measurements of the types, the shapes, and the size distributions of hydrometeors. In this paper, an impact on rainfall prediction of the data assimilation of hydrometeor types (i.e. raindrop, graupel, snowflake, etc.) is evaluated. The observed information of hydrometeor types is estimated using the fuzzy logic algorism. As an implementation, the cloud-resolving nonhydrostatic atmospheric model, CReSS, which has detail microphysical processes, is employed as a forecast model. The local ensemble transform Kalman filter, LETKF, is used as a data assimilation method, which uses an ensemble of short-term forecasts to estimate the flowdependent background error covariance required in data assimilation. A heavy rainfall event occurred in Okinawa in 2008 is chosen as an application. As a result, the rainfall prediction accuracy in the assimilation case of both hydrometeor types and the Doppler velocity and the radar echo is improved by a comparison of the no assimilation case. The effects on rainfall prediction of the assimilation of hydrometeor types appear in longer prediction lead time compared with the effects of the assimilation of radar echo only.

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