• Title/Summary/Keyword: Repayment Performance

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Ex Post Monitoring and Loan Repayment Performance in Rural Vietnam

  • HA, Van Dung;DANG, Truong Thanh Nhan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.365-373
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    • 2021
  • Loan monitoring is a fundamental element of credit control. The importance of loan monitoring is to reduce loan defaults and to increase loan repayment performance. The ex-post monitoring can also increase the loan quality and thus a concern to many creditors in the market economy. This study identifies the role of ex-post monitoring on loan repayment performance in the context of rural Vietnam. Employing primary data from rural areas of Vietnam, this study investigates the impacts of ex-post monitoring on loan repayment performance of individual borrowers in terms of on-time loan repayment and the rate of loan repayment. Descriptions of borrower demographics, loan information, and ex-post monitoring show the initial picture of borrowers and loans in Vietnam's rural areas. Quantitative estimations that use the Probit and the Tobit model confirm the argument that better ex-post monitoring would result in better loan repayment performance in both on-time repayment and repayment rate. Thus, some policy suggestions have been made to improve the monitoring system in each financial institution. The study also indicates that some other factors too affect loan repayment performance such as borrower's characteristics (education, agricultural working area, and income) as well as loan's characteristics (loan size, maturity, and loan purpose).

The Importance of a Borrower's Track Record on Repayment Performance: Evidence in P2P Lending Market

  • KIM, Dongwoo
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2020
  • In peer-to-peer (P2P) loan markets, as most lenders are unskilled and inexperienced ordinary individuals, it is important to know the characteristics of borrowers that significantly impact their repayment performance. This study investigates the effects and importance of borrowers' past repayment performance track record within the platform to identify its predictive power. To this end, I analyze the detailed loan repayment data from two leading P2P lending platforms in Korea using a Cox proportional hazard, multiple linear regression, and logit models. Furthermore, the predictive power of the factors proxied by borrowers' track records are evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. As a result, it is found that the borrowers' past track record within the platform have the most important impact on the repayment performance of their current loans. In addition, this study also reveals that the borrowers' track record is much more predictive of their repayment performance than any other factor. The findings of this study emphasize that individual lenders must take into account the quality of borrowers' past transaction history when making a funding decision, and that platform operators should actively share the borrowers' past records within the markets with lenders.

Sexism and Ageism in a P2P Lending Market: Evidence from Korea

  • KIM, Dongwoo
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.537-550
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    • 2020
  • This study attempts to identify gender and age discrimination by individual lenders in P2P lending markets by analyzing empirical transaction data from multiple platforms including Moneyauction, Popfunding, and 8percent. To do this, the study investigates the effects and importance of a borrower's gender and age on individual lenders' preferences and a borrower's actual repayment performance using multiple linear regression and relative weight analyses. As a result, no gender discrimination is found in the three Korean P2P lending markets, and such indiscrimination is rational, on the grounds that the borrower's gender does not have a statistically significant impact on the lenders' preferences as well as his/her actual repayment performance, and its relative importance is minimal. While, there marginally exists age discrimination against a borrower in the markets, and such ageism is likely to be irrational, on the grounds that the borrower's age has a partly significant and minimally important impact on the lenders' preferences, but has no significant and important impact on his/her repayment performance. For the first time, these findings help to clarify gender and age discrimination issues in the P2P lending market by identifying the rationality of individual lenders' preferences to the borrower's gender and age in the Korea.

A Study on the Factors of Normal Repayment of Financial Debt Delinquents (국내 연체경험자의 정상변제 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Sungmin Choi;Hoyoung Kim
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.69-91
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    • 2021
  • Credit Bureaus in Korea commonly use financial transaction information of the past and present time for calculating an individual's credit scores. Compared to other rating factors, the repayment history information accounts for a larger weights on credit scores. Accordingly, despite full redemption of overdue payments, late payment history is reflected negatively for the assessment of credit scores for certain period of the time. An individual with debt delinquency can be classified into two groups; (1) the individuals who have faithfully paid off theirs overdue debts(Normal Repayment), and (2) those who have not and as differences of creditworthiness between these two groups do exist, it needs to grant relatively higher credit scores to the former individuals with normal repayment. This study is designed to analyze the factors of normal repayment of Korean financial debt delinquents based on credit information of personal loan, overdue payments, redemption from Korea Credit Information Services. As a result of the analysis, the number of overdue and the type of personal loan and delinquency were identified as significant variables affecting normal repayment and among applied methodologies, neural network models suggested the highest classification accuracy. The findings of this study are expected to improve the performance of individual credit scoring model by identifying the factors affecting normal repayment of a financial debt delinquent.

An Empirical Study on the Determinants of the Debt Repayment Capability of Shipping Firms in Recession

  • Lee, Dong-Hae;Lee, Ki-Hwan;Kim, Myoung-Hee
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.414-422
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    • 2020
  • In this study, an empirical analysis of 55 ship finance cases executed by a specific ship finance bank from 2009 to 2016 during the recession period was conducted. The purpose of this study was to find the factors affecting changes in the debt performance of Korean shipping companies. The main factors were the loan nature (investment purpose, loan-to-value (LTV), syndicated loans, loan terms, put-option, balloon, and spread), financial nature (total assets turnover, net profit-to-sales ratio, debt ratio, quick ratio, total borrowing, bonds payable to total assets, interest expenses-to-sales ratio, debt service coverage ratio (DSCR), and total assets), and the company nature (company age, chief executive officer's (CEO's) shares, and listing status). In this study, the factors affecting the debt repayment capability of domestic shipping companies (loan nature, financial nature, and company nature) were verified. The credit rating was used to measure the dependent variable, debt repayment ability. The variables of investment purpose, put-option, balloon, and spread in the loan nature, debt ratio in the financial nature, and the CEO's shares and company age in the company nature were found to be significant.

A Case Study on the Risk of Stepdown ELS (스텝다운형 주가연계증권의 위험률 고찰)

  • Kim, Hee-Sun;Yeo, In-Kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1021-1031
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    • 2011
  • Equity linked securities are indirect investments where the return of investment depends on the performance of the underlying equities. In this paper, we review the profit structure of typical equity linked securities through a profit diagram and investigate which characteristics of time series at the investment affect the early repayment of the stepdown ELS based on KOSPI 200 and HSI. We also compare VaRs using the empirical distribution function for risk management.

Analysis of Current Situation of University Student Loans Based on Bigdata (빅데이터 기반 대학생 학자금 대출 현황 분석)

  • Kim, Jeong-Joon;Jang, Sung-Jun;Lee, Yong-Soo
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.229-238
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    • 2019
  • Before the scholarship loan system was implemented at the Korea Scholarship Foundation, the government's role was strengthened by the direct lending of student funds to banks and other financial institutions. However, the low repayment performance of student loans has raised concerns over the future of student loans and the government's financial burden. Moreover, since student loans are repaid even after graduating from college to support low-income families, it is highly unlikely that the repayment rate of student loans will improve unless the employment rate and income level of the borrower improve. In this paper, the final visualization graph is presented of the repayment amount of the student loan through the collection, storage, processing and analysis phase in the Big Data-based system. This could be the basis for visually checking the amount of student loans to come up with various ways to reduce the burden on the current student loan system.

The Effects of Household Financial Condition and Management Behavior Performance on the Financial Satisfaction (가계 재무상태와 재무관리행동 성과에 따른 재무만족도)

  • 김경자;박명숙;정운영
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate how the financial satisfaction of housewives was related with the financial condition of households and the performance evaluation of household financial management behavior. In order to examine this relationship, internet questionnaire survey was conducted with 598 housewives. Results showed that household income and monthly debt repayment had only indirect effects on the financial satisfaction while monthly saving had both of the direct and indirect effects. It indicates that financial satisfaction level varies with the perceived performance of financial management behavior even though they have the same level of financial resources. Specifically, the division of financial roles and problem solving style between husband and wife affected the financial satisfaction of housewives.

Performance comparison between Decision tree model and TabNet for loan repayment prediction (대출 상환 예측을 위한 의사결정나무모델과 TabNet 간 성능 비교)

  • Sujin Han;Hyeoncheol Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2023.11a
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    • pp.453-455
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 은행에서 리스크 관리 자동화를 위해 고객의 대출 상환 여부 예측 모델을 제안하고자 한다. 예측 모델로 금융 데이터 같은 정형데이터에서 전통적으로 높은 성능을 보인 의사결정나무기반 모델 LightGBM, CatBoost, XGB 와 최근 제안된 정형데이터에서 사용할 수 있는 설명 가능한 딥러닝 기반 모델 TabNet 간의 성능 비교를 진행한다. 다만, 대출 상환 여부 데이터는 불균형 클래스 데이터로 구성되어있어 샘플링을 진행한다. SMOTE, Random Under Sampling, 혼합 방식을 비교해 가장 높은 성능의 샘플링 기법을 제안한다. 대출 상환 여부 예측 결과 TabNet 모델이 의사결정나무모델들보다 좋은 성능을 보여 정형데이터에서 의사결정나무 기반 모델을 딥러닝 모델이 대체 할 수 있는 가능성을 확인했다.

A Study on Risk Analysis and Relevant Measures for the Successful Performance in Overseas Construction Projects - Including Case Analysis on A Overseas Construction Project - (해외건설 프로젝트의 성공적 수행을 위한 위험요소 및 대처방안에 대한 연구 - 해외건설 사례분석을 포함하여 -)

  • Kim, Sang-Man
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.50
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    • pp.215-250
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    • 2011
  • Korean won overseas construction projects worth 71.6 billion US Dollars in 2010, which exceeded that of 2009 by 45.6%. An overseas construction project is a transaction of large scale, long term project, many parties participating, deferred payment, and of high-technology. It contributes to foreign currency earning, and also leads the nation's export restructuring work towards high value-added one. There are various kinds of risks towards the relevant parties respectively, which are key elements in successfully performing the overseas construction project. There are completion risk, financing risk, operating risk, revenue risk etc, in an employer's place. A contractor may be confronted with payment risk, issuance risk of performance bond, financing risk, performance risk of sub-contractors, and exchange rate risk. In lenders place there are repayment risk, completion risk, and political risk in the host country. In order to mitigate risks, the parties shall take relevant measures or require relevant securities. A contractor needs to evaluate the credibility of an employer in respect of payment risk, and can also request export insurance cover by the Korea Trade Insurance Corporation(the former 'Korea Export Insurance Corporation"). An employer can require a contractor to provide performance bond in respect of completion risk, and employ a well-known first class bank as a mandated arranger to arrange financing with regard to completion risk. Lenders needs to evaluate the credibility of an employer and accomplish feasibility study of the project. Lenders can request insurance cover from export credit agency. Once the parties assess the respective risks and obtain relevant securities, the project will be successfully completed. The success of the project will be sure to bring the parties involved enormous profits and another opportunity to participate in overseas construction project afterwards.

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