• Title/Summary/Keyword: delphi

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The Development of Delphi Decision Support System on the Web (웹에 기반한 델파이 의사결정지원시스템의 구현)

  • 서창교;김은진;이영숙
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.5-25
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    • 2001
  • The main purpose of this paper is to develop a Delphi Decision Support System based on the web, which can improve the conventional Delphi method. Among major drawbacks of the conventional Delphi methods are cost and efforts to distribute and collect the questionnaire by the regular mail and the tardiness in collecting, categorizing, analyzing, and reporting the result of the questionnaire. With the proposed Delphi Decision Support System, the moderator sends the e-mail to invite the member of panels so that they may visit the homepage of the Delphi Decision Support System. When the panelists input their opinions about the issues, the Delphi Decision Support System analyzes the inputs and reports the result without delay. To implement the Delphi Decision Support System, we integrated Microsoft SQL Server 6.5, jdbcKona/MS SQLServer 4 JDBC driver, and Java Development Kit 1.2

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Development of Questionnaire for Pattern Identification of Chronic Low Back Pain by Delphi Method (만성 요통 변증 설문지 개발을 위한 전문가 Delphi 조사)

  • Ahn, Min-Youn;Song, Yun-Kyung;Ko, Seong-Gyu;Lim, Hyoung-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.143-158
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    • 2013
  • Objectives The aim of this study is to contribute to developing questionnaire for pattern identification of chronic low back pain using delphi method. Methods The questionnaire which includes symptoms and signs of chronic low back pain is studied by delphi method. Seven experts of Korean medicine, especially of rehabilitation medicine participated in delphi examination. Delphi examination was carried out through evaluating and correcting the questionnaire by e-mail. Results By the Delphi method and score evaluation, 20 items of the initial copy of questionnaire are chosen for pattern identification of chronic low back pain. Conclusions By the delphic method among experts, a reference questionnaire for pattern identification of chronic low back pain was suggested. Further research is necessary for modification of questionnaire by statistics and certification by clinical trial research.

Application of the Delphi Technique in Modifying AHP Method (Delphi를 사용한 AHP방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Sung-Hwan;Gwon, Seong-Hoon;Park, Jin-Bum;Hong, Soon-Ki
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 2009
  • AHP is widely used in various fields owing to its simplicity and clarity. However, it has the problems of reliability of panel's judgement and the assumption that each panelist's ability is equal. In this paper, we propose a reliable AHP method using Delphi technique, which aims to incorporate the relative expertise of panel and to increase their consensus. The method is called the Modified Delphi-AHP. We apply the method to analyzing the demand for lectures of Management of Technology.

A Study on the Construction of Non-face-to-face Lecture of KAOMPT: Delphi Survey Research to Post COVID-19 Untact Era (대한정형도수물리치료학회 비대면 강의 체계 구축 연구: 포스트 코로나19 대비 델파이 기법 분석 적용 사례)

  • Kim, Jin-young;Shin, Young-il;Yang, Sung-hwa
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Orthopedic Manual Physical Therapy
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2021
  • Background: The purpose of this study is to identify the elements for the construction of the Korean academy of orthopedic manipulative physical therapy's (KAOMPT's) non-face-to-face lecture system using the Delphi method. Methods: The Delphi method was applied to 50 expert panel members of the Central Committee and the Provincial Branch of the KAOMPT. The Delphi survey was conducted in two rounds, and the first Delphi survey collected opinions on 40 questions on 12 topics. The second Delphi survey was collected into 25 questions on 4 topics. As a result of the survey, the content validity ratio (CVR), consensus and convergence were measured. Referring to the number of expert panels and previous studies were determine a CVR of at least 2.29, a consensus of at least .75 and a convergence of 0 to .5. Result: In the first Delphi result, out of the total 40 items, 20 items with high content validity ratio were found, and 10 items found double agreement. In the second Delphi result, 13 out of the total 25 items had a content validity ratio higher than 2.29, and 5 items found a double agreement. Conclusion: This study derived items on the role of central and municipal councils, lecture support and lecture room construction, non-face regular course and special lecture operation and personnel for the establishment of non-face-to-face lecture system. Based on this content, it is expected that it will help establish a non-face-to-face lecture system in 2021 through a pilot non-face-to-face lecture that will be implemented in the future.

Development of Standardized Pattern Identification for Dizziness by Delphi Method (현훈(어지럼증) 한의표준변증안 개발을 위한 전문가 델파이 조사)

  • Oh, Se-Hee;Jung, Chan-Yung;Hong, Seung-Ug
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine Ophthalmology and Otolaryngology and Dermatology
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 2020
  • Objectives : The goal of this study is developing standardized pattern identification of dizziness using delphi method. Methods : The pattern identification of dizziness which derived through literature review is studied by delphi method. A group of 9 experts of korean medicine participated in Delphi examination. Experts carried out evaluating and correcting the pattern identification and symptoms by e-mail. Results : Through 3 delphi examinations, final standardized pattern identification of dizziness was suggested. It consisted of 2 items of excess syndrome, 2 items of excess-deficiency combination syndrome, and 3 items of deficiency syndrome. Conclusions : By the delphi examinations among experts, a standardized pattern identification of dizziness was suggested. These pattern identification will contribute to research and treatment of korean medicine. Further study is necessary for modification of pattern identification by practical clinical use.

Prioritization in the Policy of Integrated Medicine that Uses the Delphi Method and Analytic Hierarchy Process (델파이 기법과 AHP기법을 사용한 통합의료정책 우선순위 수립 연구)

  • Park, Youn Ok;Son, Chi Hyoung
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.66-71
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of the study is to establish priorities in integrated medicine policy. Delphi method was used in conducting a survey on integrated medicine specialists regarding the policies of integrated medicine and actions. For specialists in integrated medicine, total 17 persons selected included scholars who performed minimum one study on integrated medicine, medical staff who performing integrated medical service at institutions that implemented integrated medical care or those who were involved in creating or implementing policies on integrated medicine. The first Delphi-method survey conducted from Apr. 14 through 18, while the second survey was carried out from Apr. 21 through 25. To prioritize the policies based on the results of the mini Delphi-method survey, Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) was performed for 15 persons answered to mini Delphi-method from May 2 through 16, 2014. From the Delphi-method survey, four policies and 16 actions were obtained. AHP showed the first priority placed on 'Building the Infrastructure of Industrialization in the Integrative medicine' of the 4 policies and 'Developing new diagnostic and treatment instruments' was given the highest priority of the 16 actions. For implementation of integrated medicine policy, the 4 policies and the 16 actions found in this research require government support and should be urgently implemented according to its priority.

Delphi studies on the operational problems of the Emergency Vehicle Priority Signal System and improvement measures (긴급차량 우선신호시스템 운영상의 문제점 도출과 개선방안에 관한 델파이 연구)

  • Jin-hyeon, Kim
    • The Korean Journal of Emergency Medical Services
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.185-199
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Prompt arrival of emergency vehicles at the scene is important. Therefore, special cases for emergency vehicles are being applied. However, there remain obstacles that obstruct the prompt arrival during dispatch. Methods: First, a literature review revealed five categories of problems with the emergency vehicle priority signal system. Then, the first Delphi survey was conducted to confirm the validity of the five categories. Further, a second Delphi survey was conducted to identify additional problems, and we used a 5-point Likert scale for a third Delphi survey. Results: A total of 92 items were extracted from preceding studies. The validity of the five categories was confirmed in the first Delphi survey. Then, 123 additional items were derived from the second Delphi survey, and the final 50 items were selected from 93 items obtained from the third Delphi survey. Conclusion: This study revealed problems and improvement measures for improving the operation of the emergency vehicle priority signal system that were not proposed in previous studies.

An Establishment of the Forecasting System for General Index using Fuzzy Delphi Method (Fuzzy Delpi 법(法)을 이용한 일반 지수 예측 시스템 구축)

  • Kim, Chang-Eun;Choi, Hwan-Seok
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 1996
  • The Delphi method is widely used for long and middle range forecasting in management science. It is a method by which the subjective data of experts are made to converge using statistical analysis. The Fuzzy Delphi Method(F.D.M.), anew application of the Delphi method using Triangular Fuzzy Numbers(T.F.N.), can help to predict the uncertainty, synthesize the opinion and calculation of those assumed dissemblance index and fuzzy distance. Furthermore, the programming of the F.D.M. process to feed paper and data back to experts can make them more accurately predict the various information.

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A Delphi Survey for the Revision of the Diagnostic Criteria for Sanhupung (Puerperal Wind Disorder, U32.7) (산후풍 진단 기준 개정 위한 델파이조사 결과)

  • Choi, Su-Ji;Kim, Dong-Il
    • The Journal of Korean Obstetrics and Gynecology
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.42-53
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: The definition of Sanhupung (Puerperal wind disorder) has been varied and there has been a prior study to establish the definition, but no clear conclusion has been reached on diagnostic criteria. Therefore, the aim of this study was to clearly redefine the definition of Sanhupung using the Delphi method. Methods: This study used the Delphi technique. A panel consisting of 13 experts of Korean medicine, particularly in Obstetrics & Gynecology, participated in the Delphi survey that included answering the 3rd round survey. The Delphi survey was conducted by evaluating and correcting the questionnaire using e-mail. Results: Through the Delphi survey, we have reached an agreement regarding the diagnostic criteria of Sanhupung. They are as follows: 1) Sanhupung can be diagnosed based on basic symptoms. If one or more symptoms are expressed in the basic symptom group, it can be diagnosed as Sanhupung. It is diagnosed in detail as a pain type or a sensory impairment type according to the category of basic symptoms. 2) Incidental symptoms are not essential for diagnosis, and are referred to for checking general weakness and autonomic nervous system conditions. 3) In order to meet the diagnostic criteria, the symptoms should occur within 6 months after childbirth or miscarriage, and the cause of the symptoms should not be classified as other diseases. Conclusions: The diagnostic criteria of Sanhupung were suggested based on the Delphi survey among experts in the field. Further research is necessary to improve the reliability and validity of the criteria.

A Study for the Establishment of the Diagnostic Definition of Sanhupung (U32.7) using the Delphi Method (산후풍의 진단적 정의 확립을 위한 전문가 델파이 조사 연구)

  • Oh, Su-Kyoung;Noh, Eun-Ji;Choi, Su-Ji;Kim, Dong-Il
    • The Journal of Korean Obstetrics and Gynecology
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.16-30
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: The aim of this study was to establish a clear diagnostic definition of Sanhupung using the Delphi method. Methods: This study used the Delphi technique. A panel consisting of 21 experts of Korean medicine, particularly in of gynecologic medicine, participated in the Delphi examination that included answering the 4th round survey. The Delphi examination was carried out through evaluating and correcting the questionnaire by e-mail. Results: Through the Delphi survey, we have reached on an agreement regarding the basic concepts, time, cause, essential symptoms, and accessory symptoms of Sanhupung. They are as follows: 1) Sanhupung is a culture bound syndrome reflecting Korea's cultural specificity. 2) Sanhupung can be diagnosed even after the miscarriage. 3) For the diagnosis of Sanhupung, the main cause of symptoms should not be classified as other disease. 4) Sanhupung can be diagnosed based on essential symptoms and accessory symptoms. 5) Essential symptoms include local symptoms such as joint pain at specific areas, partial sensory impairment and general symptoms including pain of all the joints, whole body sensory impairment, increased sweating, feeling of wind coming into the body, worsened symptoms with the cold, intolerance to cold, and pain of all the muscles. Conclusions: The basic concepts and diagnostic definition of Sanhupung were suggested based on the Delphi survey among experts in the field. Further research is necessary to improve reliability and validity of diagnostic definition of Sanhupung in clinical trials.