• Title/Summary/Keyword: risky asset model

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An Analysis of Household Portfolio according tow Wealth Levels (자산계층별 가계 포트폴리오 분석)

  • 최현자
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.193-206
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    • 1999
  • This study analyzed the household portfolio according to wealth levels using a survey data of 1997 Korea Household Panel Study. The major findings of this study are as follows: (1) A household in high wealth level has invested relatively large proportion of his asset into real estate (2) A household in middle wealth level has invested relatively large proportion of his asset into risky financial asset(3) A household in low wealth level has invested relatively large proportion of his asset into secure financial asset. These findings accorded with risky pyramid model.

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EMPIRICAL REALITIES FOR A MINIMAL DESCRIPTION RISKY ASSET MODEL. THE NEED FOR FRACTAL FEATURES

  • Christopher C.Heyde;Liu, S.
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.1047-1059
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    • 2001
  • The classical Geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model for the price of a risky asset, from which the huge financial derivatives industry has developed, stipulates that the log returns are iid Gaussian. however, typical log returns data show a distribution with much higher peaks and heavier tails than the Gaussian as well as evidence of strong and persistent dependence. In this paper we describe a simple replacement for GBM, a fractal activity time Geometric Brownian motion (FATGBM) model based on fractal activity time which readily explains these observed features in the data. Consequences of the model are explained, and examples are given to illustrate how the self-similar scaling properties of the activity time check out in practice.

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The Effect of Stochastic Taxes on Asset Prices (세금 불확실성 하의 자산 가격 결정)

  • Kim, Chang-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.207-219
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    • 1995
  • This paper develops an equilibrium asset pricing model with taxation in the economy. The expected excess rate of return on a risky asset is shown to be an increasing function of the covariance of asset return with aggregate consumption rate changes and the covariance of asset return with the tax rates as well. Thus, the expected execss rate of return can be decomposed as the consumption risk premium and the tax premium. The capital asset pricing model derived in the absence of taxes is shown to understate the expected excess rate of return and to have a misspecification error in the economy with taxation.

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A Causal Model on Household Investment Behavior (가계투자활동의 인과적 모형 분석)

  • 정은주
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.219-235
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    • 1992
  • This study attempted to examine a theoretical framework which synthesizes risk attitude, type of investment management and investment behavior and to provide the specific investment strategy by analysing several variables which have effect upon the investment behavior. The results of this research were as follow : 1. Risk attitude had significant differences by the variabels such as age, sex, education, income and debt/asset ratio. Also the type of investment management was influenced significantly by the variables such as age, education, occupation, income, total asset, debt/asset ratio, achievement motivation and risk attitude. The ratio of risky asset holdings was affected by the variabels such as age, education, occupation, housing ownership, income, total asset, debt/asset ratio, achievement motivation, risk attitude and type of investment management. 2. Among several variables affecting the ratio of risky asset holding risk attitude, education, type of investment management, debt/asset ratio and achievement motivation had direct effect on it. Besides age had indirect effect through risk attitude and age, achievement motivation and risk attitude had indirect effect through the type of investment management. 3. The results of this study showed that causal relation between input, throughput and output can be applied to household's investment behavior and the concept of risk or risk attitude can be applied to other fields except household's investment. Also it could be attributed to provide the investment strategy for improving level of household's financial well-being.

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Macroeconomic Consequences of Pay-as-you-go Public Pension System (부과방식 공적연금의 거시경제적 영향)

  • Park, Chang-Gyun;Hur, Seok-Kyun
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.225-270
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    • 2008
  • We analyze macroeconomic consequences of pay-as-you-go (PAYGO) public pension system with a simple overlapping generations model. Contrary to large body of existing literatures offering quantitative results based on simulation study, we take another route by adopting a highly simplified framework in search of qualitatively tractable analytical results. The main contribution of our results lies in providing a sound theoretical foundation that can be utilized in interpreting various quantitative results offered by simulation studies of large scale general equilibrium models. We present a simple overlapping generations model with a defined benefit(DB) PAYGO public pension system as a benchmark case and derive an analytical equilibrium solution utilizing graphical illustration. We also discuss the modifications of the benchmark model required to encompass a defined contribution(DC) public pension system into the basic framework. Comparative statics analysis provides three important implications; First, introduction and expansion of the PAYGO public pension, DB or DC, result in lower level of capital accumulation and higher expected rate of return on the risky asset. Second, it is shown that the progress of population aging is accompanied by lower capital stock due to decrease in both demand and supply of risky asset. Moreover, risk premium for risky asset increases(decreases) as the speed of population aging accelerates(decelerates) so that the possibility of so-called "the great meltdown" of asset market cannot be excluded although the odds are not high. Third, it is most likely that the switch from DB PAYGO to DC PAYGO would result in lower capital stock and higher expected return on the risky asset mainly due to the fact that the young generation regards DC PAYGO pension as another risky asset competing against the risky asset traded in the market. This theoretical prediction coincides with one of the firmly established propositions in empirical literature that the currently dominant form of public pension system has the tendency to crowd out private capital accumulation.

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Optimal Asset Allocation for Defined Contribution Pension to Minimize Shortfall Risk of Income Replacement Rate (소득대체율 부족 위험 최소화를 위한 확정기여형 퇴직연금제도의 최적자산배분)

  • Dong-Hwa Lee;Kyung-Jin Choi
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to propose an optimal asset allocation that minimizes the risk of insufficient realized replacement rates compared to the OECD average replacement rate. To do this, we set the shortfall risk of replacement rates and calculates an asset allocation plan to minimize this risk based on the period of enrollment, the income level and additional contribution. We consider stocks and deposits as investment assets, using Monte Carlo simulation with a GBM model to generate return distributions for stocks. Our result show that, for individuals with a enrollment period of less than 30 years, participants should invest a minimum of 70-80% of their funds in risky assets to minimize the shortfall risk. However, the proportion of funds that need to be invested in risky assets declines significantly when participants contribute an additional premiums. This effect is particularly pronounced among low-income individuals. Therefore, to achieve OECD average replacement rates, the government needs to incentivize participants to invest more in risky assets, while also providing policies to encourage additional contributions, especially for the low-income population.

ROBUST OPTIMAL PROPORTIONAL REINSURANCE AND INVESTMENT STRATEGY FOR AN INSURER WITH ORNSTEIN-UHLENBECK PROCESS

  • Ma, Jianjing;Wang, Guojing;Xing, Yongsheng
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.56 no.6
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    • pp.1467-1483
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    • 2019
  • This paper analyzes a robust optimal reinsurance and investment strategy for an Ambiguity-Averse Insurer (AAI), who worries about model misspecification and insists on seeking robust optimal strategies. The AAI's surplus process is assumed to follow a jump-diffusion model, and he is allowed to purchase proportional reinsurance or acquire new business, meanwhile invest his surplus in a risk-free asset and a risky-asset, whose price is described by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Under the criterion for maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth, robust optimal strategy and value function are derived by applying the stochastic dynamic programming approach. Serval numerical examples are given to illustrate the impact of model parameters on the robust optimal strategies and the loss utility function from ignoring the model uncertainty.

Portfolio Optimization of Diversified Investments with Minimum Risk Asset and Non-Positive Correlation Assets (최소위험 종목과 비양의 상관관계를 갖는 종목들 분산투자 포트폴리오 최적화)

  • Lee, Sang-Un
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2022
  • This paper deals with portfolio optimization problem that you could lower the total risk of an investment portfolio by adding risky assets to the mix than the minimum risk of single asset. Popular Markowitz's mean-variance(MV) model construct the portfolio with the point in the efficient frontier using principle of domination where the variance is minimized for a given mean return. While this paper suggest the portfolio with minimum risk asset with non-positive(negative and uncorrelated) correlation assets to it. As a result of experiments, the proposed method shows lower risk(standard deviation) than MV.

ARITHMETIC AVERAGE ASIAN OPTIONS WITH STOCHASTIC ELASTICITY OF VARIANCE

  • JANG, KYU-HWAN;LEE, MIN-KU
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.123-135
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    • 2016
  • This article deals with the pricing of Asian options under a constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model as well as a stochastic elasticity of variance (SEV) model. The CEV and SEV models are underlying asset price models proposed to overcome shortcomings of the constant volatility model. In particular, the SEV model is attractive because it can characterize the feature of volatility in risky situation such as the global financial crisis both quantitatively and qualitatively. We use an asymptotic expansion method to approximate the no-arbitrage price of an arithmetic average Asian option under both CEV and SEV models. Subsequently, the zero and non-zero constant leverage effects as well as stochastic leverage effects are compared with each other. Lastly, we investigate the SEV correction effects to the CEV model for the price of Asian options.

A Study on Dynamic Glide Path of Target Date Fund Reflecting Market Expectations (시장기대를 반영한 타겟 데이트 펀드의 동적 글라이드패스에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Myung-Deok;Kim, Sun Woong;Choi, Heung Sik
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze investment performance by applying dynamic methodologies that reflect market expectations rather than traditional static methodologies in applying the glide path of target date fund. In calculating market expectations, the number of distributed shares in the ETF market was used, and the dynamic glide path model portfolio considering market expectations in the analysis period from late 2011 to October 2020 could show better results than the existing static glide path. According to the analysis, increasing the portion of risky assets at a time when the number of shares in the ETF's distribution increases, and in the opposite case, reducing the portion of risky assets is advantageous for profit. The results of this study are expected to provide useful theoretical and practical implications for researchers and asset management workers who are interested in knowledge management from a broad perspective beyond the boundary of pension asset management to the public fund market and ETF market.